{"id":52,"date":"2012-05-09T03:51:23","date_gmt":"2012-05-09T12:51:23","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"2012-05-09T03:51:23","modified_gmt":"2012-05-09T12:51:23","slug":"","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coadec.uobaghdad.edu.iq\/?p=52","title":{"rendered":"\u0646\u062f\u0648\u0629&#8221; \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0648\u062f\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0640\u0640\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0647\u0645\u0627 \u0628\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a\u064a\u062c\u064a\u0627\u062a \u062a\u062e\u0641\u064a\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0637\u0644\u0627\u062a &#8220;"},"content":{"rendered":"<div style=\"font-family: simplified arabic; font-size: 16px; direction: rtl;\">\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 0cm 10pt; text-align: justify; text-justify: inter-ideograph;\" dir=\"RTL\"><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 18pt;\">\u0627\u0642\u0627\u0645 \u0642\u0633\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u062f\u0648\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0633\u0648\u0645\u0629 &nbsp;(( <b><span style=\"color: red;\">\u0627\u0644\u062c\u0648\u062f\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0640\u0640\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0647\u0645\u0627 \u0628\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a\u064a\u062c\u064a\u0627\u062a \u062a\u062e\u0641\u064a\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0637\u0644\u0627\u062a<\/span><\/b> )) \u0648\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0641\u064a \u064a\u0648\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0631\u0628\u0639\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0627\u0641\u0642 9\/5\/2012 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0627\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0634\u0631\u0629 \u0635\u0628\u0627\u062d\u0627\u064b \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0642\u0627\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0641\u0627\u0621 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u060c \u0648\u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0631\u0626\u064a\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u062f\u0648\u0629 \u0623.\u0645.\u062f. \u0639\u0645\u0627\u062f \u062d\u0627\u0632\u0645&nbsp; \u0648 \u0645\u0642\u0631\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u062f\u0648\u0629 \u0623.\u0645.\u062f. \u0627\u0646\u062a\u0635\u0627\u0631 \u0639\u0631\u064a\u0628\u064a<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 0cm 10pt;\" dir=\"RTL\"><b><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 18pt;\">\u0645\u0646\u0647\u0627\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0646\u062f\u0648\u0629 <\/span><\/b><\/p>\n<div style=\"text-align: right;\" dir=\"rtl\">\n<table style=\"border: currentcolor; border-collapse: collapse;\" dir=\"rtl\" border=\"1\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td valign=\"top\" style=\"padding: 0cm 5.4pt; border: 1pt solid black; width: 234.2pt; background-color: transparent;\">\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 0cm 10pt; text-align: center;\" dir=\"RTL\"><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\">\u0639\u0646\u0648\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u062b<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" style=\"border-width: 1pt 0px 1pt 1pt; border-style: solid none solid solid; border-color: black #000000 black black; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 114.3pt; background-color: transparent;\">\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 0cm 10pt; text-align: center;\" dir=\"RTL\"><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\">\u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b\u064a\u0646<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" style=\"border-width: 1pt 0px 1pt 1pt; border-style: solid none solid solid; border-color: black #000000 black black; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 113.6pt; background-color: transparent;\">\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 0cm 10pt;\" dir=\"RTL\"><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0642\u0628\u064a\u0646 <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td valign=\"top\" style=\"border-width: 0px 1pt 1pt; border-style: none solid solid; border-color: #000000 black black; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 234.2pt; background-color: transparent;\">\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 0cm 10pt;\" dir=\"RTL\"><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\">\u0645\u0642\u0627\u0631\u0646\u0629 \u0645\u0642\u062f\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0628\u064a\u0632 \u0644\u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0623\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0648\u064a\u0628\u0644 \u0644\u0644\u0641\u0634\u0644 \u0628\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0639\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u062f\u0648\u0627\u0644 \u062e\u0633\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0645\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641\u0629 \u0645\u0639 \u062a\u0637\u0628\u0642 \u0639\u0645\u0644\u064a <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" style=\"border-width: 0px 0px 1pt 1pt; border-style: none none solid solid; border-color: #000000 #000000 black black; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 114.3pt; background-color: transparent;\">\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 0cm 10pt;\" dir=\"RTL\"><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\">\u062f. \u0644\u0645\u064a\u0639\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0642\u0631 <\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 0cm 10pt;\" dir=\"RTL\"><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\">\u0627\u0644\u0633\u062a \u0635\u0628\u0627 \u0635\u0628\u0627\u062d&nbsp; <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" style=\"border-width: 0px 0px 1pt 1pt; border-style: none none solid solid; border-color: #000000 #000000 black black; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 113.6pt; background-color: transparent;\">\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 0cm 10pt;\" dir=\"RTL\"><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\">\u0623 .\u0645 .\u062f. \u0639\u0645\u0627\u062f \u062d\u0627\u0632\u0645 <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td valign=\"top\" style=\"border-width: 0px 1pt 1pt; border-style: none solid solid; border-color: #000000 black black; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 234.2pt; background-color: transparent;\">\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 0cm 10pt;\" dir=\"RTL\"><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\">\u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0641\u0634\u0644 \u0628\u0648\u0631 \u0645\u0639 \u062a\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0642 \u0639\u0645\u0644\u064a&nbsp; <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" style=\"border-width: 0px 0px 1pt 1pt; border-style: none none solid solid; border-color: #000000 #000000 black black; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 114.3pt; background-color: transparent;\">\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 0cm 10pt;\" dir=\"RTL\"><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\">\u062f. \u0639\u0645\u0627\u062f \u062d\u0627\u0632\u0645 <\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 0cm 10pt;\" dir=\"RTL\"><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\">\u0645 .\u0645 \u062d\u0627\u0631\u062b \u0633\u0644\u064a\u0645 <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" style=\"border-width: 0px 0px 1pt 1pt; border-style: none none solid solid; border-color: #000000 #000000 black black; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 113.6pt; background-color: transparent;\">\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 0cm 10pt;\" dir=\"RTL\"><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\">\u0623.\u0645 .\u062f. \u062a\u0647\u0627\u0646\u064a \u0645\u0647\u062f\u064a<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td valign=\"top\" style=\"border-width: 0px 1pt 1pt; border-style: none solid solid; border-color: #000000 black black; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 234.2pt; background-color: transparent;\">\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 0cm 10pt;\" dir=\"RTL\"><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\">\u0645\u0642\u0627\u0631\u0646\u0629 \u0628\u0639\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0631\u0627\u0626\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0644\u0627\u0645\u0639\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u062a\u0648\u0632\u064a\u0639 \u0648\u064a\u0628\u0644&nbsp; \u0645\u0639 \u062a\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0642 \u0639\u0645\u0644\u064a <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" style=\"border-width: 0px 0px 1pt 1pt; border-style: none none solid solid; border-color: #000000 #000000 black black; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 114.3pt; background-color: transparent;\">\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 0cm 10pt;\" dir=\"RTL\"><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\">\u062f. \u0627\u0646\u062a\u0635\u0627\u0631 \u0639\u0631\u064a\u0628\u064a <\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 0cm 10pt;\" dir=\"RTL\"><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\">\u0645 .\u0645 \u0628\u0634\u064a\u0631 \u0641\u064a\u0635\u0644 <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" style=\"border-width: 0px 0px 1pt 1pt; border-style: none none solid solid; border-color: #000000 #000000 black black; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 113.6pt; background-color: transparent;\">\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 0cm 10pt;\" dir=\"RTL\"><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\">\u0623.\u0645 .\u062f. \u0642\u062a\u064a\u0628\u0629 \u0646\u0628\u064a\u0644<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td valign=\"top\" style=\"border-width: 0px 1pt 1pt; border-style: none solid solid; border-color: #000000 black black; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 234.2pt; background-color: transparent;\">\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 0cm 10pt;\" dir=\"RTL\"><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\">\u0645\u0642\u0627\u0631\u0646\u0629 \u0627\u0633\u0644\u0648\u0628 \u0628\u064a\u0632 \u0648\u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0645\u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0639\u0638\u0645 \u0644\u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0646\u0638\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0633\u0644\u0633\u0644 \u0648\u0646\u0638\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0627\u0632\u064a \u0645\u0639 \u062a\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0642 \u0639\u0645\u0644\u064a <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" style=\"border-width: 0px 0px 1pt 1pt; border-style: none none solid solid; border-color: #000000 #000000 black black; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 114.3pt; background-color: transparent;\">\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 0cm 10pt;\" dir=\"RTL\"><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\">\u0623\u0625 . \u0635\u0628\u0627\u062d \u0647\u0627\u062f\u064a<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 0cm 10pt;\" dir=\"RTL\"><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\">\u0645.\u0645 \u0639\u0644\u064a \u062d\u0645\u064a\u062f .&nbsp;&nbsp; <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" style=\"border-width: 0px 0px 1pt 1pt; border-style: none none solid solid; border-color: #000000 #000000 black black; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 113.6pt; background-color: transparent;\">\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 0cm 10pt;\" dir=\"RTL\"><b> <\/b><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 0cm 10pt;\" dir=\"RTL\"><b><span style=\"font-family: arial,sans-serif;\">\u0623.\u0645 .\u062f. \u0646\u0632\u0627\u0631\u0645\u0635\u0637\u0641\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0631\u0627\u0641 <\/span><\/b><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table><\/div>\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 0cm 10pt;\" dir=\"RTL\">\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 0cm 10pt;\" dir=\"RTL\">\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 0cm 10pt;\" dir=\"RTL\">\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 0cm 10pt; text-align: center;\" dir=\"RTL\"><span style=\"color: red; line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\">\u0627\u0644\u0628\u062d\u062b \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0644 \u0645\u0646 \u0625\u0637\u0631\u0648\u062d\u0629 \u062f\u0643\u062a\u0648\u0631\u0627\u0647 \u0644\u0644\u0637\u0627\u0644\u0628\u0629 \u0635\u0628\u0627 \u0635\u0628\u0627\u062d \u0623\u062d\u0645\u062f<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 0cm 10pt; text-align: center;\" dir=\"RTL\"><span style=\"color: red; line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\">\u0628\u0625\u0634\u0631\u0627\u0641\/ \u0623.\u0645.\u062f. \u0644\u0645\u064a\u0639\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0642\u0631 \u062c\u0648\u0627\u062f\/2011<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 0cm 10pt; text-align: center;\" dir=\"RTL\"><b><span style=\"color: red; line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 18pt;\">\u0645\u0642\u0627\u0631\u0646\u0629 \u0645\u0642\u062f\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0628\u064a\u0632 \u0644\u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0625\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0648\u064a\u0628\u0644 \u0644\u0644\u0641\u0634\u0644 \u0628\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0639\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u062f\u0648\u0627\u0644 \u062e\u0633\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0645\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0639\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0627\u0643\u0627\u0629<\/span><\/b><b> <\/b><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 0cm 10pt;\" dir=\"RTL\"><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\">\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0639\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0642\u0631 \u062c\u0648\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0648\u0627\u062f&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; \u0635\u0628\u0627 \u0635\u0628\u0627\u062d \u0623\u062d\u0645\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0645\u064a\u0644\u064a<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 0cm 10pt; text-align: center;\" dir=\"RTL\"><b><span style=\"color: red; line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 18pt;\">\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u062e\u0644\u0635<\/span><\/b><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 0cm 10pt; text-align: justify; text-justify: inter-ideograph;\" dir=\"RTL\"><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; \u062a\u0631\u0643\u0632 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u062d\u062b \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u0627\u0631\u0646\u0640\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0640\u0646 \u0645\u0642\u062f\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0628\u064a\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633\u064a \u0644\u062f\u0627\u0644\u0640\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0640\u0629 \u0644\u062a\u0648\u0632\u064a\u0640\u0639 \u0648\u064a\u0628\u0640\u0644 \u0630\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0644\u0645\u062a\u064a\u0640\u0646 \u0628\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0639\u0645\u0640\u0627\u0644 \u0633\u062a\u0640\u0629 \u062f\u0648\u0627\u0644 \u062e\u0633\u0640\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0645\u062a\u0645\u0627\u062b\u0644\u0640\u0629 \u0648\u0647\u0645\u0640\u0627 \u062f\u0627\u0644\u0640\u0640\u0629<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 0cm 10pt; text-align: justify; text-justify: inter-ideograph;\" dir=\"RTL\"><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\">&nbsp;\u0627\u0644\u062e\u0633\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0631\u0628\u064a\u0639\u064a\u0629 <\/span> <span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\" dir=\"LTR\"> (Quadratic Loss Function)<\/span> <span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\"> &nbsp; \u0648\u062f\u0627\u0644\u0640\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0633\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0631\u0628\u064a\u0639\u064a\u0640\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0640\u0642\u062a\u0631\u062d\u0629 <\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 0cm 10pt; text-align: justify; text-justify: inter-ideograph;\" dir=\"RTL\"> <span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\" dir=\"LTR\"> (Proposed Quadratic Loss Function)<\/span> <span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\"> \u060c \u0648\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u062a\u0645\u0627\u062b\u0644\u0629 \u0648\u0647\u0645 \u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0633\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u063a\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0645\u064a\u0629 <\/span> <span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\" dir=\"LTR\"> (Logarithmic Loss Function)<\/span> <span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\"> \u0648\u062f\u0627\u0644\u0640\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0633\u0640\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u063a\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0645\u064a\u0640\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u062a\u0631\u062d\u0640\u0629 <\/span> <span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\" dir=\"LTR\"> (Proposed Logarithmic Loss Function)<\/span> <span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\"> \u0648\u062f\u0627\u0644\u0640\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0633\u0640\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0642\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0640\u0640\u0629<\/span> <span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\" dir=\"LTR\"> (Precautionary Loss Function)<\/span> <span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\"> &nbsp; \u0648\u062f\u0627\u0644\u0640\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0633\u0640\u0640\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0640\u0648\u0642\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0640\u0640\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0640\u0642\u062a\u0631\u062d\u0640\u0640\u0629 <\/span> <span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\" dir=\"LTR\"> (Proposed Precautionary Loss Function)<\/span> <span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\"> \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062f\u0648\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u062a\u0631\u062d\u0629 \u062a\u0645 \u0627\u0642\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062d\u0647\u0627 \u0628\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0639\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u0648\u0632\u0646 \u0644\u062f\u0648\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0633\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0648\u062a\u0628\u064a\u0646 \u062a\u0641\u0648\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u062f\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u062a\u0631\u062d\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0639\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0627\u0643\u0627\u0629.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 0cm 10pt;\" dir=\"RTL\">\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 0cm 10pt; text-align: center; unicode-bidi: embed; direction: ltr;\" dir=\"LTR\"><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\">A comparison Bayes Estimators for Reliability Function of Weibull Distribution by Using Different Loss Functions Using Simulation<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 0cm 10pt; text-align: left; unicode-bidi: embed; direction: ltr;\" dir=\"LTR\"><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\">&nbsp;Abstract<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 0cm 10pt; text-align: justify; unicode-bidi: embed; direction: ltr; text-justify: inter-ideograph;\" dir=\"LTR\"><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; <\/span><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\">This research focus on a comparison between Bayes estimators for reliability function of the two parameters Weibull distribution by using six symmetric loss functions which are Quadratic Loss Function and Proposed Quadratic Loss Function, and asymmetric loss functions which are Logarithmic Loss Function, Proposed Logarithmic Loss Function, Precautionary Loss Function and Proposed Precautionary Loss Function. The proposed functions have been suggested by using a weight for loss functions and it seems the proposed estimators were the best by using simulation. <\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 0cm 10pt; text-align: center;\" dir=\"RTL\"><b> <\/b><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 0cm 10pt; text-align: center;\" dir=\"RTL\"><b><span style=\"color: red; line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 18pt;\">\u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u062a\u0648\u0632\u064a\u0639 <\/span><\/b><b><span style=\"color: red; line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 18pt;\" dir=\"LTR\">BURR -II<\/span><\/b> <b><span style=\"color: red; line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 18pt;\"> &nbsp; \u0641\u064a \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0627\u0642\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062f\u0631\u064a\u062c\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0648\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0646\u064a<\/span><\/b><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 0cm 10pt; text-align: center;\" dir=\"RTL\"><b><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 19pt;\">\u0627.\u0645.\u062f.\u0639\u0645\u0627\u062f \u062d\u0627\u0632\u0645&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b \u062d\u0627\u0631\u062b \u0633\u0644\u064a\u0645<\/span><\/b><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 0cm 10pt;\" dir=\"RTL\"><b> <\/b><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 0cm 10pt; text-align: center;\" dir=\"RTL\"><b><span style=\"color: red; line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 19pt;\">\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u062e\u0644\u0635<\/span><\/b><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 0cm 10pt; text-align: justify; text-justify: inter-ideograph;\" dir=\"RTL\"><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\">\u0627\u0646 \u062a\u0648\u0632\u064a\u0639 <\/span><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\" dir=\"LTR\">Burr Type-XII<\/span> <span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\"> \u0630\u0648 \u0645\u0639\u0644\u0645\u062a\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0643\u0644 <\/span> <span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\" dir=\"LTR\"> &nbsp;(c,k)<\/span><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\">\u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0632\u064a\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0623\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0645\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0647\u0645\u0629 \u060c \u0643\u0633\u0628 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0632\u064a\u0639 \u0623\u0647\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0646 \u0623\u0644\u0627\u062e\u064a\u0631\u064a\u0646 \u0644\u0622\u0647\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0639\u0645\u0627\u0644\u0647 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u060c \u0648\u0637\u0628\u0642 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0632\u064a\u0639 \u0641\u064a \u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u060c \u0639\u0631\u0636 \u0648\u0642\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0634\u0644 \u060c\u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0637\u0631\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0648\u062f\u0629 \u060c \u0646\u0645\u0630\u062c\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0628\u0648\u0644 (\u0642\u0628\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u064a\u0646\u0629) \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0641\u064a\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0632\u064a\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0639\u064a \u0623\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c\u0627\u064b \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0644\u0627\u0626\u0645 \u060c \u0648\u0628\u0646\u0627\u0621\u0627\u064b \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u0627 \u062a\u0642\u062f\u0645 \u062a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0637\u0631\u0642 \u0641\u064a \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u062a\u0648\u0632\u064a\u0639 <\/span> <span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\" dir=\"LTR\"> &nbsp;Burr Type-XII<\/span> <span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\"> \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062e\u0635\u0627\u0626\u0635 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u064a\u062a\u0645\u062a\u0639 \u0628\u0647\u0627 \u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0623\u0645\u0643\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0643\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0629 \u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0632\u064a\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0631\u0627\u0643\u0645\u064a&nbsp; <\/span> <span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\" dir=\"LTR\"> (c.d.f)<\/span> <span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\"> \u0648\u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0629 <\/span> <span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\" dir=\"LTR\"> &nbsp;R(t)<\/span> <span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\"> \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0632\u064a\u0639 \u0628\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0645\u063a\u0644\u0642 \u060c \u0643\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0644\u0647 \u0630\u064a\u0648\u0644 (\u0646\u0647\u0627\u064a\u0627\u062a) \u062c\u0628\u0631\u064a\u0629 <\/span> <span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\" dir=\"LTR\"> (Algebraic tails)&nbsp; <\/span> <span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\"> \u060c \u0648\u062a\u062a\u0636\u0645\u0646 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0639\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0631\u0627\u0642\u0628\u0629 \u062a\u062f\u0631\u064a\u062c\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0648\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0646\u064a <\/span><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\" dir=\"LTR\">Progressively type-II Censored Data<\/span> <span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\"> \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u0639\u062a\u0628\u0631 \u0648\u0627\u062d\u062f\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0623\u0647\u0645 \u0627\u0646\u0648\u0627\u0639 \u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0627\u0642\u0628\u0629 \u060c \u0644\u0627\u0646 \u0628\u0639\u0636 \u0627\u0646\u0648\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0647\u064a \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u062e\u0627\u0635\u0629 \u0645\u0646\u0647\u0627 .<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 0cm 10pt; text-align: justify; text-justify: inter-ideograph;\" dir=\"RTL\"><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\">&nbsp;\u0625\u0630 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0639\u0645\u0644\u062a \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0641\u064a \u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0644\u0645\u0629 <\/span><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\" dir=\"LTR\">k<\/span> <span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\"> \u0648\u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0629 <\/span><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\" dir=\"LTR\">R(t)<\/span> <span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\"> \u0644\u062a\u0648\u0632\u064a\u0639&nbsp; <\/span><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\" dir=\"LTR\">Burr Type-XII <\/span> <span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\"> &nbsp;\u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0641\u0631\u0636 \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0644\u0645\u0629 <\/span><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\" dir=\"LTR\">c<\/span> <span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\"> \u0645\u0639\u0644\u0648\u0645\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u0627\u0631\u0646\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0637\u0631\u0627\u0626\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641\u0629 \u0644\u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0631\u0627\u0626\u0642 \u0647\u064a :-<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 0cm 10pt; text-align: justify; text-justify: inter-ideograph;\" dir=\"RTL\"> <span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\" dir=\"LTR\"> -i<\/span> <span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\"> &nbsp;&nbsp; \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0645\u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0639\u0638\u0645 <\/span><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\" dir=\"LTR\">Maximum Likelihood Method (M.L.M)&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; -ii<\/span><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\">\u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0632 <\/span><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\" dir=\"LTR\">Bayes Method (B.M)&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; -iii<\/span><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\">\u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062c\u0631\u064a\u0628\u064a <\/span><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\" dir=\"LTR\">Empirical Bayes Method (E.B.M)&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; <\/span><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\">\u062d\u064a\u062b \u0637\u0628\u0642\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0631\u0627\u0626\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0632\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0639\u062a\u0645\u0627\u062f \u062f\u0648\u0627\u0644 \u062e\u0633\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0645\u062a\u0645\u0627\u062b\u0644\u0629 \u0648\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u062a\u0645\u0627\u062b\u0644\u0629 <\/span> <span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\" dir=\"LTR\"> (Symmetric and asymmetric Loss Fonctions)<\/span> <span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\"> \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u0645\u062b\u0644\u062a \u0628\u0627\u0644\u062f\u0648\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a\u064a\u0629 :-<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 0cm 10pt; text-align: justify; text-justify: inter-ideograph;\" dir=\"RTL\"> <span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\" dir=\"LTR\"> -1<\/span> <span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\"> \u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u062e\u0633\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u062a\u0631\u0628\u064a\u0639\u064a\u0629 <\/span><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\" dir=\"LTR\">Squared Error Loss Function&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;-2<\/span> <span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\"> \u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u062e\u0633\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u0623 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0637\u0644\u0642 <\/span><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\" dir=\"LTR\">Absolute Error Loss Function&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; -3<\/span> <span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\"> \u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u062e\u0633\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u062a\u0631\u0628\u064a\u0639\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0648\u063a\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0645\u064a\u0629 <\/span><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\" dir=\"LTR\">Squared Logarithmic Error Loss Function&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; -4<\/span> <span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\"> \u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u062e\u0633\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u062e\u0637\u064a\u0629 \u0623\u0633\u064a\u0629 <\/span><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\" dir=\"LTR\">Liner Exponential Error Loss Function&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/span><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\">\u0648\u0642\u062f \u062a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0635\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u062a\u064a (\u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0639\u0638\u0645 \u0648\u0628\u064a\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062c\u0631\u064a\u0628\u064a \u0628\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0639\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u062e\u0633\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u062a\u0631\u0628\u064a\u0639\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0648\u063a\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0645\u064a\u0629 <\/span><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\" dir=\"LTR\">ML&amp;EBLE<\/span> <span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\"> ) \u0643\u0623\u0641\u0636\u0644 \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u062a\u064a\u0646 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0637\u0631\u0627\u0626\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u0628\u0623\u0639\u062a\u0645\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626<\/span><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\">\u064a<\/span><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\">\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a\u064a\u064a\u0646 :-<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 0cm 10pt; text-align: justify; text-justify: inter-ideograph;\" dir=\"RTL\"> <span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\" dir=\"LTR\"> -1<\/span> <span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\"> \u0645\u062a\u0648\u0633\u0637 \u0645\u0631\u0628\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u0623 <\/span><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\" dir=\"LTR\">Mean Squared Error (MSE)&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;-2<\/span><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\">\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0633\u0637 \u0645\u0631\u0628\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u0623 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0627\u0645\u0644\u064a&nbsp; <\/span><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14pt;\" dir=\"LTR\">Integral Mean Squared Error (IMSE)&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; <\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 0cm 10pt; text-align: justify; text-justify: inter-ideograph;\" dir=\"RTL\">\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 0cm 10pt; text-align: center;\" dir=\"RTL\"><b><span style=\"color: red; line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 18pt;\">\u0628\u0639\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0631\u0627\u0626\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0644\u0645\u06cc\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0644\u0627\u0645\u0639\u0644\u0645\u06cc\u0629 \u0644\u062a\u0642\u062f\u06cc\u0631 \u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0648\u0644\u06cc\u0629<\/span><\/b><span style=\"color: red; line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 18pt;\"> <b>\u0645\u0639 \u062a\u0637\u0628\u06cc\u0642 \u0639\u0645\u0644\u064a<\/b><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 0cm 10pt; text-align: center;\" dir=\"RTL\"><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\">\u0623.\u0645 \u062f.\u0627\u0646\u062a\u0635\u0627\u0631 \u0639\u0631\u06cc\u0628\u064a \u0641\u062f\u0639\u0645&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; \u0645.\u0645 \u0628\u0634\u06cc\u0631 \u0641\u06cc\u0635\u0644 \u0645\u062d\u0645\u062f<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 0cm 10pt; text-align: center;\" dir=\"RTL\"><b><span style=\"color: red; line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 19pt;\">\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u062e\u0644\u0635<\/span><\/b><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 18pt 10pt 0cm; text-align: justify; text-justify: inter-ideograph;\" dir=\"RTL\"><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\">\u064a\u0647\u062f\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u062d\u062b \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u062c\u0631\u0627\u0621 \u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u062a\u0648\u0632\u064a\u0639 \u0648\u064a\u0628\u0644 \u0630\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0644\u0645\u062a\u064a\u0646 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0637\u0631\u0627\u0626\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0629 .<\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 18pt 10pt 0cm; text-align: justify; text-justify: inter-ideograph;\" dir=\"RTL\"><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\">\u0648\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0631\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0627\u0645\u0639\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u0623\u0644\u0627\u0636\u0627\u0641\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0642\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062d \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u062a\u064a\u0646 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0637\u0631\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0627\u0645\u0639\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0629 <\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 18pt 10pt 0cm; text-align: justify; text-justify: inter-ideograph;\" dir=\"RTL\"><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\">( \u0648\u062a\u0645 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0633\u0644\u0648\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0627\u0643\u0627\u0629 \u0644\u063a\u0631\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u0627\u0631\u0646\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u062d\u062c\u0648\u0645 \u0639\u064a\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0645\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641\u0629&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;( 20,40,60,80,100)<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 18pt 10pt 0cm; text-align: justify; text-justify: inter-ideograph;\" dir=\"RTL\"><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\">\u0648\u0627\u0644\u0648\u0635\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0641\u0636\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0631\u0627\u0626\u0642 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0639\u062a\u0645\u0627\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0624\u0634\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a \u0645\u062a\u0648\u0633\u0637 \u0645\u0631\u0628\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u0627 <\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 18pt 10pt 0cm; text-align: justify; text-justify: inter-ideograph;\" dir=\"RTL\"><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\">( \u0648\u0642\u062f \u062a\u0648\u0635\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u062d\u062b \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u064a\u062c\u0627\u062f \u0648\u0632\u0646 \u0645\u0642\u062a\u0631\u062d \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 ( 1), \u0648 \u0648\u0632\u0646 \u0645\u0642\u062a\u0631\u062d \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 ( 2 ,(<\/span><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\" dir=\"LTR\">IMSE) <\/span><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\">\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0627\u0645\u0644\u064a<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 18pt 10pt 0cm; text-align: justify; text-justify: inter-ideograph;\" dir=\"RTL\"><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\">\u0648\u0642\u062f \u062a\u0648\u0635\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u062d\u062b \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0641\u0636\u0644 \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0645\u0639\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u060c(<\/span><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\" dir=\"LTR\">WEKM) <\/span><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\">\u0644\u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0645\u0642\u062f\u0631 \u0643\u0627\u0628\u0644\u0646 \u0645\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062c\u0631\u064a\u0628\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0632\u0648\u0646<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 18pt 10pt 0cm; text-align: justify; text-justify: inter-ideograph;\" dir=\"RTL\"><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\">\u0648\u0628\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0644\u0627\u0641\u0636\u0644 \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0627\u0645\u0639\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0647\u064a ,((<\/span><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\" dir=\"LTR\">MLM) <\/span><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\">\u0644\u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0647\u064a \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 (\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0645\u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0639\u0638\u0645 <\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 32.15pt 10pt 0cm; text-align: justify; text-justify: inter-ideograph;\" dir=\"RTL\"><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-size: 16pt;\">}<span style=\"font: 7pt\/normal times new roman; font-size-adjust: none; font-stretch: normal;\">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; <\/span><\/span> <span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\" dir=\"LTR\"> .((EM)<\/span><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\">\u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 (\u0637\u0631\u0627\u0626\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062c\u0631\u064a\u0628<\/span> <span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\" dir=\"LTR\"> (<\/span> <span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\"> <\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 0cm 10pt;\" dir=\"RTL\">\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 0cm 10pt; text-align: center;\" dir=\"RTL\"><b><span style=\"color: red; line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 18pt;\">\u0645\u0642\u0627\u0631\u0646\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0623\u0633\u0644\u0648\u0628 \u0628\u064a\u0632 \u0648\u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0645\u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0639\u0638\u0645 \u0644\u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0646\u0638\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0633\u0644\u0633\u0644 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0638\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0627\u0632\u064a \u0645\u0639 \u062a\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0642 \u0639\u0645\u0644\u064a<\/span><\/b> <\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 0cm 10pt; text-align: center;\" dir=\"RTL\"><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\">\u0623.\u0635\u0628\u0627\u062d \u0647\u0627\u062f\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0627\u0633\u0645&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;\u0645.\u0645.\u0639\u0644\u064a \u062d\u0645\u064a\u062f \u064a\u0648\u0633\u0641<\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 0cm 10pt; text-align: center;\" dir=\"RTL\"><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\">\u062c\u0627\u0645\u0639\u0629 \u0628\u063a\u062f\u0627\u062f-\u0642\u0633\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0621&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;\u062c\u0627\u0645\u0639\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0633\u0637 -\u0642\u0633\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0621<\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 0cm 10pt; text-align: center;\" dir=\"RTL\"><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\">\u0643\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062f\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;\u0643\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062f\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f<\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 0cm 10pt; text-align: center;\" dir=\"RTL\"><b><span style=\"color: red; line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 18pt;\">\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u062e\u0644\u0635<\/span><\/b><b> <\/b><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 36pt 10pt 0cm; text-align: justify; text-justify: inter-ideograph;\" dir=\"RTL\"><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: times new roman,serif; font-size: 16pt;\">\u0097<span style=\"font: 7pt\/normal times new roman; font-size-adjust: none; font-stretch: normal;\">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; <\/span><\/span> <span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\">\u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0639\u0631\u0627\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062c\u0639\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0628\u062d\u0648\u062b \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0639\u0644\u0642\u0629 \u0628\u0645\u0648\u0636\u0648\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u063a\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u062d\u0648\u062b \u0627\u0646\u0635\u0628 \u0627\u0647\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0645\u0647\u0627 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u0633\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0639\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u0631\u0643\u0628\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0646\u0638\u0627\u0645 \u0645\u0639\u064a\u0646 \u0628\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0639\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u0637\u0631\u0627\u0626\u0642 \u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641\u0629 \u0643\u0637\u0631\u0627\u0626\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u064a\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0645\u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0639\u0638\u0645&nbsp; (<\/span><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\" dir=\"LTR\">Maximum Likelihood Method<\/span> <span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\"> ) \u0623\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0631\u0627\u0626\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u0633\u062a\u0646\u062f \u0641\u064a \u0639\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0644\u0648\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0641\u0631\u0629 \u062d\u0648\u0644 \u0645\u0639\u0644\u0645\u0627\u062a \u062a\u0648\u0632\u064a\u0639 \u0632\u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u064a\u0627\u0629 \u0644\u0645\u0631\u0643\u0628\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0646\u0638\u0627\u0645 \u0645\u0639\u064a\u0646 \u0648\u0645\u0646 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0631\u0627\u0626\u0642 \u0647\u064a \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0632 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 (<\/span><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\" dir=\"LTR\">Bayes Method<\/span> <span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\"> ) \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0636 \u0625\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0644\u0648\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0641\u0631\u0629 \u062d\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0644\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0634\u0648\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0635\u064a\u0627\u063a\u062a\u0647\u0627 \u0628\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u062a\u0648\u0632\u064a\u0639 \u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u064a\u0633\u0645\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0632\u064a\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u062a\u0631\u0643 \u0644\u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0644\u0645\u0627\u062a (<\/span><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\" dir=\"LTR\">Joint Prior Distribution<\/span> <span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\"> )\u060c \u0625\u0645\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u0647\u0630\u0647 <\/span><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\">\u0627\u0644\u0628\u062d\u062b <\/span><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\">\u0641\u0642\u062f \u062a\u0645 \u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0646\u0638\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0633\u0644\u0633\u0644 (<\/span><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\" dir=\"LTR\">Series System<\/span> <span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\"> ) \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0638\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0627\u0632\u064a&nbsp; (<\/span><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\" dir=\"LTR\">Parallel System<\/span> <span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\"> ) .<\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 36pt 10pt 0cm; text-align: justify; text-justify: inter-ideograph;\" dir=\"RTL\"><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: times new roman,serif; font-size: 16pt;\">\u0097<span style=\"font: 7pt\/normal times new roman; font-size-adjust: none; font-stretch: normal;\">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; <\/span><\/span> <span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\">\u0648\u0642\u062f \u062a\u0645 \u0641\u064a \u0647\u0630<\/span><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\">\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u062d\u062b<\/span><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\"> \u0627\u0634\u062a\u0642\u0627\u0642 \u0645\u0642\u062f\u0631\u0627\u062a \u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0646\u0638\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0633\u0644\u0633\u0644 \u0648\u0643\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0645\u0642\u062f\u0631\u0627\u062a \u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0646\u0638\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0627\u0632\u064a&nbsp; \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0641\u0631\u0636 \u0625\u0646 \u0623\u0648\u0642\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u064a\u0627\u0629 \u0644\u0645\u0631\u0643\u0628\u0627\u062a \u0643\u0644 \u0646\u0638\u0627\u0645 \u0647\u064a \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0629 \u0648\u062a\u062a\u0648\u0632\u0639 \u062a\u0648\u0632\u064a\u0639\u0627\u064b \u0623\u0633\u064a\u0627\u064b \u0628\u0645\u0639\u0644\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633 \u0645\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641\u0629 \u0648\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0629 \u0648\u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u062f\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0647\u064a :<\/span> <span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\" dir=\"LTR\"> <\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 36pt 10pt 0cm; text-align: justify; text-justify: inter-ideograph;\" dir=\"RTL\"><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: times new roman,serif; font-size: 16pt;\">\u0097<span style=\"font: 7pt\/normal times new roman; font-size-adjust: none; font-stretch: normal;\">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; <\/span><\/span> <span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\">\u0623\u0648\u0644\u0627\u064b: \u0645\u0642\u062f\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0645\u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0639\u0638\u0645 <\/span><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\" dir=\"LTR\">Maximum Likelihood Estimator&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; <\/span><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\">\u062b\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0627\u064b:\u0645\u0642\u062f\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0628\u064a\u0632 \u0628\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0639\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u062e\u0633\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u062a\u0631\u0628\u064a\u0639\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0645\u0642\u062f\u0631 \u0628\u064a\u0632 \u0628\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0639\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u062e\u0633\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0645\u0642\u062a\u0631\u062d\u0629 \u0645\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062e\u0630 \u0628\u0646\u0638\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0639\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0623\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u0634\u062a\u0631\u0643\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0644\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0634\u0648\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u062d\u0633\u0628 \u0623\u0633\u0644\u0648\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b (<\/span><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\" dir=\"LTR\">Jeffery<\/span> <span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\"> ) \u0648\u0643\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0643\u062b\u0627\u0641\u0629 \u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0623\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u0631\u0627\u0641\u0642\u0629 \u0637\u0628\u064a\u0639\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u0644\u0645 \u064a\u062a\u0637\u0631\u0642 \u0625\u0644\u064a\u0647\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0627\u062c\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0639\u0644\u0642\u0629 \u0628\u0645\u0648\u0636\u0648\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u062d\u062b \u0648\u062a\u062c\u062f\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0634\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0647\u0646\u0627 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0625\u0646 \u0627\u0634\u062a\u0642\u0627\u0642 \u0645\u0642\u062f\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0628\u064a\u0632 \u0644\u0645\u0639\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0638\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0627\u0632\u064a \u062a\u0645\u062a \u0645\u0646 \u0642\u0628\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b \u0644\u0639\u062f\u0645 \u062a\u0648\u0641\u0631\u0647\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u0627\u062f\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0639\u0644\u0642\u0629 \u0628\u0645\u0648\u0636\u0648\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u062d\u062b \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u062d\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b\u060c \u0648\u0644\u063a\u0631\u0636 \u0623\u062c\u0631\u0627\u0621 \u0639\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u0627\u0631\u0646\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0623\u0641\u0636\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u062f\u0631\u0627\u062a \u062a\u0645 \u062a\u0648\u0638\u064a\u0641 \u0623\u0633\u0644\u0648\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0627\u0643\u0627\u0629 \u0628\u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 (<\/span><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\" dir=\"LTR\">Monte Carlo<\/span> <span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\"> ) \u0648\u0628\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0639\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u064a\u0646 (<\/span><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\" dir=\"LTR\">MSE<\/span> <span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\"> ) \u0648(<\/span><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\" dir=\"LTR\">MAPE<\/span> <span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\"> ) \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u062c\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0641\u0627\u0636\u0644\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u062f\u0631\u0627\u062a .<\/span> <span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\" dir=\"LTR\"> <\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 36pt 10pt 0cm; text-align: justify; text-justify: inter-ideograph;\" dir=\"RTL\"><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: times new roman,serif; font-size: 16pt;\">\u0097<span style=\"font: 7pt\/normal times new roman; font-size-adjust: none; font-stretch: normal;\">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; <\/span><\/span> <span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\">\u0648\u0642\u062f \u062a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0635\u0644 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u0641\u0636\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u0642\u062f\u0631 \u0628\u064a\u0632 \u0628\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0639\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u062e\u0633\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0645\u0642\u062a\u0631\u062d\u0629 \u0648\u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0643\u062b\u0627\u0641\u0629 \u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0623\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u0631\u0627\u0641\u0642\u0629 \u0637\u0628\u064a\u0639\u064a\u0629&nbsp; \u0648\u0643\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0645\u0642\u062f\u0631 \u0628\u064a\u0632 \u0628\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0639\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u062e\u0633\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0645\u0642\u062a\u0631\u062d\u0629 \u0648\u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0623\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0639\u0644\u0648\u0645\u0627\u062a\u064a\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0628\u0642\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u062f\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062e\u0631\u0649 .<\/span> <span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\" dir=\"LTR\"> <\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 36pt 10pt 0cm; text-align: justify; text-justify: inter-ideograph;\" dir=\"RTL\"><span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: times new roman,serif; font-size: 16pt;\">\u0097<span style=\"font: 7pt\/normal times new roman; font-size-adjust: none; font-stretch: normal;\">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; <\/span><\/span> <span style=\"line-height: 115%; font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 16pt;\">\u0625\u0645\u0627 \u0641\u064a\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u062a\u0639\u0644\u0642 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u062c\u0627\u0646\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0642\u064a \u0645\u0646 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0633\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0639\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b \u0645\u0627 \u062a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0635\u0644 \u0625\u0644\u064a\u0647 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0627\u0646\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062c\u0631\u064a\u0628\u064a \u0644\u063a\u0631\u0636 \u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0646\u0638\u0627\u0645 \u0645\u062a\u0633\u0644\u0633\u0644 \u0648\u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0646\u0638\u0627\u0645 \u0645\u062a\u0648\u0627\u0632\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0645\u0639\u0645\u0644 \u0646\u0633\u064a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0648\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639 \u0644\u0644\u0634\u0631\u0643\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0635\u0646\u0627\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0633\u064a\u062c\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0648\u0627\u0633\u0637 .<\/span> <\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 36pt 10pt 0cm; text-align: center; text-justify: inter-ideograph;\" dir=\"RTL\"><object width=\"500\" height=\"350\" classid=\"clsid:D27CDB6E-AE6D-11cf-96B8-444553540000\"><param value=\"\/uploads\/flash\/seminer\/stat9-5.swf\" name=\"Movie\"\/><param value=\"true\" name=\"play\"\/><param value=\"high\" name=\"quality\"\/><param value=\"transparent\" name=\"wmode\"\/><param value=\"false\" name=\"loop\"\/><param value=\"false\" name=\"menu\"\/><div style=\"text-align: justify;\"><embed height=\"350\" type=\"application\/x-shockwave-flash\" pluginspage=\"http:\/\/www.macromedia.com\/go\/getflashplayer\" width=\"500\" src=\"https:\/\/coadec.uobaghdad.edu.iq\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/9\/uploads\/flash\/seminer\/stat9-5.swf\" quality=\"high\" wmode=\"transparent\" loop=\"false\" menu=\"false\"><\/div><\/object><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0cm 0cm 10pt; text-align: justify; text-justify: inter-ideograph;\" dir=\"RTL\">\n<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u0627\u0642\u0627\u0645 \u0642\u0633\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u062f\u0648\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0633\u0648\u0645\u0629  (( \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0648\u062f\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0640\u0640\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0647\u0645\u0627 \u0628\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a\u064a\u062c\u064a\u0627\u062a \u062a\u062e\u0641\u064a\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0637\u0644\u0627\u062a )) \u0648\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0641\u064a \u064a\u0648\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0631\u0628\u0639\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0627\u0641\u0642 9\/5\/2012 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0627\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0634\u0631\u0629 \u0635\u0628\u0627\u062d\u0627\u064b \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0642\u0627\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0641\u0627\u0621 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0644\u064a\u0629 &#8230; <a class=\"cz_readmore\" href=\"https:\/\/coadec.uobaghdad.edu.iq\/?p=52\"><i class=\"fa fa-angle-left\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/i><span>\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0632\u064a\u062f<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":15223,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-2"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>\u0646\u062f\u0648\u0629&quot; \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0648\u062f\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0640\u0640\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0647\u0645\u0627 \u0628\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a\u064a\u062c\u064a\u0627\u062a \u062a\u062e\u0641\u064a\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0637\u0644\u0627\u062a &quot; - \u0643\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062f\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0625\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coadec.uobaghdad.edu.iq\/?p=52\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\u0646\u062f\u0648\u0629&quot; \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0648\u062f\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0640\u0640\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0647\u0645\u0627 \u0628\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a\u064a\u062c\u064a\u0627\u062a \u062a\u062e\u0641\u064a\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0637\u0644\u0627\u062a &quot; - \u0643\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062f\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0625\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"\u0627\u0642\u0627\u0645 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